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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.63vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.67+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.28-1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31-0.17vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.99-0.04vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.27-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.29Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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4.83University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.96Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.48Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.28Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 28.0% | 24.7% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bobby Sessions | 16.8% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Lowry | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.5% |
| Connor Goulet | 33.5% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% |
| Caroline Ritter | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 27.5% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.