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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.71+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.79+2.53vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.17vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.98+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26-1.30vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-3.05+1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.28-4.04vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.21-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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1.83Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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6.23Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.32Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
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2.96University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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5.09Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Higgins | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Bay Hodge | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 11.4% | 2.1% |
| Liam Walz | 49.9% | 27.8% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 38.0% | 20.8% |
| Brian Pribe | 10.1% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Noah Brush | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 18.5% | 67.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 19.0% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin Higgins | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 24.6% | 17.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.