Race 5A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Calvin Schmid 9.3% 9.3% 8.5% 8.8% 10.5% 8.9% 9.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 8.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.0% 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 7.5% 6.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Enzo Menditto 21.2% 16.6% 14.6% 13.2% 8.2% 9.0% 6.0% 4.9% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Lech 9.3% 11.1% 11.1% 9.2% 8.9% 10.4% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 5.9% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Connor McHugh 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 4.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Tyler Lamm 14.6% 13.2% 13.1% 12.2% 10.5% 9.0% 8.6% 5.9% 5.5% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sidney Moyer 4.2% 3.7% 5.3% 4.6% 6.1% 6.2% 6.3% 10.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.5% 10.8% 8.5% 3.9%
William Kulas 8.2% 9.6% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 6.7% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Kiana Beachy 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 3.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.8% 11.6% 13.7% 10.2%
Gus Macaulay 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.3% 9.4% 8.3% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Olivia Lowthian 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 7.5% 9.0% 13.5% 19.5% 20.9%
Caylin Schnoor 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 4.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 9.1% 13.1% 13.5% 12.4% 9.2%
Carter Anderson 3.0% 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 8.0% 11.1% 14.5% 15.4% 10.5%
Greta Shuster 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 8.6% 17.2% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.