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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.79+1.31vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.71+0.24vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.98+1.10vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.84-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.26-3.36vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.05-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.1Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.83Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.2Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 49.9% | 28.5% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 18.6% | 26.6% | 25.3% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bay Hodge | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 33.6% | 17.9% |
| Connor McColl | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 27.8% | 15.2% |
| Brian Pribe | 12.2% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Noah Brush | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 18.6% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.