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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.81vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.71+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.26+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79-0.64vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.84-0.12vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98-0.91vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.05-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan0.280.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.88Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.09Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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7.2Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 51.1% | 27.6% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Brian Pribe | 11.8% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 19.1% | 25.5% | 25.8% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bay Hodge | 5.9% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor McColl | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 28.7% | 15.0% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 30.4% | 20.6% |
| Noah Brush | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 21.6% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.