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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75-0.79vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20+2.82vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37+0.39vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96+2.42vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.52-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-0.77vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-1.30-0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.60-3.17vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-1.31-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.03-4.22vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-2.68-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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3.21Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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7.82Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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9.42Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.58Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 18.0% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 24.0% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 22.5% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 3.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Danielle Dow | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 11.3% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 11.4% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
| Emily Burns | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.