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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.74+6.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.53-1.27vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.20+2.11vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.60+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.03+0.52vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.96-0.74vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.37-5.38vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.30-2.74vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound-1.31-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-2.68-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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9.5University of British Columbia-0.740.0%1st Place
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3.26Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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8.11Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.1Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.26Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.26Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 22.3% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crystal Song | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 23.1% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 5.7% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Chandler Sharp | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Dow | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 11.7% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 8.2% |
| Emily Burns | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 13.6% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.