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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.88vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.03+3.95vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-1.34vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.37-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-1.31+1.47vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.38-1.67vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.20-3.20vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.96-3.34vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.30-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-2.68-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.08Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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8.81University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.66Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.8Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.66Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.41Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 10.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 24.5% | 21.0% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 21.3% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 7.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 9.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 5.6% |
| Danielle Dow | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 9.9% |
| Emily Burns | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.