← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.93+3.94vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.75+1.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.74+0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia-0.74+5.57vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.37+1.55vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.52+0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.53-3.38vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-0.60+1.24vs Predicted
-
9University of Puget Sound-1.31+2.11vs Predicted
-
10Oregon State University-1.30+1.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria-0.38-2.37vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.20-3.74vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-1.03-2.42vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.96-3.87vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-2.68-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.94University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
3.19Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
-
3.28University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
-
9.57University of British Columbia-0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.55Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
-
6.06Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.62University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
-
9.24University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.15Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.26Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
-
10.13Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
13.71University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 23.7% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 21.6% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crystal Song | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 18.8% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Danielle Dow | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 9.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Emily Burns | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.