← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+2.59vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.20+5.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria-0.60+5.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.93+0.93vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.38+3.31vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.52-0.01vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University1.75-3.88vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.37-1.78vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington1.74-5.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-1.31+0.54vs Predicted
-
11Oregon State University-1.30-0.47vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria-1.03-2.12vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.96-3.43vs Predicted
-
14University of Oregon-2.68-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.59University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
-
7.5Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
8.68University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
-
4.93University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.99Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.12Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.22Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
-
3.29University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
-
10.54University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.53Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
-
9.57Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
12.85University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 19.6% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lukas Koch | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Hayden Potter | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 24.5% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 20.9% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Danielle Dow | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 10.7% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
| Emily Burns | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.