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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75-0.74vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.60+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.74+2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38+0.57vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.30+2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.31+1.16vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.37-4.47vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.52-5.76vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.96-2.57vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.03-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-2.68-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.26Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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8.06Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.53University of British Columbia-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.1Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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6.53Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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10.43Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 22.9% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 18.6% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 23.5% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Crystal Song | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Danielle Dow | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 8.5% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 10.2% |
| Chandler Sharp | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
| Emily Burns | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.