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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+1.13vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.20+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.03+4.93vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.37+0.37vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.60+0.68vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.75-5.73vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.96-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.38-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.31-1.50vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.30-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.68-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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7.64Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Victoria-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.37Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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9.73Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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10.41Oregon State University-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 18.5% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 23.5% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Potter | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Salmen-Hartley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 6.2% |
| Chandler Sharp | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Koch | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 22.5% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Charlotte Clark | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 11.0% |
| Danielle Dow | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 10.3% |
| Emily Burns | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.