Race 1B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rogelio Casellas 11.6% 11.1% 11.9% 13.1% 10.5% 9.8% 8.8% 8.2% 5.5% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Jancy Grayson 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 6.1% 5.2% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 10.4% 12.3% 12.5% 10.3% 3.2%
Grace Ivancich 6.0% 6.9% 7.2% 7.9% 7.3% 9.5% 8.9% 9.0% 8.8% 9.5% 8.4% 5.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Peter Barnard 23.8% 20.4% 16.8% 11.8% 9.7% 7.0% 4.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Devon Owen 11.5% 13.4% 12.0% 11.6% 11.1% 9.7% 8.2% 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 9.0% 10.9% 8.0% 8.1% 6.2% 1.4%
Gabby Collins 3.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 12.4% 9.2% 2.8%
Maria Skouloudi 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 8.8% 5.3% 1.5%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 7.6% 10.1% 14.1% 24.8% 10.8%
Emil Tullberg 6.0% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.8% 9.6% 7.6% 9.7% 9.3% 8.2% 9.3% 6.6% 4.0% 0.5%
Karya Basaraner 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 7.0% 3.8% 1.1%
Everett Botwinick 12.4% 12.6% 12.2% 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 9.7% 6.7% 5.5% 4.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 5.9% 5.5% 8.5% 7.9% 11.3% 14.4% 19.6% 8.6%
Colin Kenny 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 6.3% 11.2% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.