← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Meier 18.6% 14.6% 16.0% 15.6% 13.9% 11.5% 6.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Zeke Horowitz 20.9% 20.3% 17.8% 15.0% 14.8% 6.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Hall 23.6% 21.0% 20.8% 15.3% 9.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Brandon Johnson 2.0% 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 7.4% 12.2% 19.3% 22.0% 20.8% 4.2%
J Hoyt 3.5% 3.6% 4.9% 6.4% 6.7% 11.2% 17.0% 24.0% 19.1% 3.6%
Harrison Cabiness 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 10.3% 16.5% 18.0% 18.4% 12.0% 0.6%
David Hernandez 15.6% 19.1% 15.5% 17.8% 13.9% 11.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
John Hursh 8.3% 10.8% 11.9% 13.1% 18.7% 13.5% 12.3% 8.4% 2.8% 0.2%
Douglas Toney 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 3.7% 9.3% 14.1% 18.8% 35.8% 7.4%
Patrick Oglesby 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 8.0% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.