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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+3.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.42+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79+0.12vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.54+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.53+2.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.22-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.49-0.17vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.76-0.15vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.31-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.42-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.69-0.65vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.29-2.70vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.60-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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8.2Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Washington-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.46Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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7.43Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Puget Sound-0.420.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marijke Jorna | 13.0% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Van Dam | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Austin Hauter | 17.4% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Yinjin Maile | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Kate Chandler | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Wolcott | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Bay Whitney | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Kyle Padgett | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Anny Schmidt | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 37.3% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 22.5% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.