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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+3.20vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+3.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.53+4.40vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.76+4.26vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.42+2.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54+1.48vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.31-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.22-4.01vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.78-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-0.42-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.29-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.60-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.12Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Washington-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.26Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.48Western Washington University-0.540.1%1st Place
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7.73Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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9.32University of British Columbia-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Puget Sound-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 18.6% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marijke Jorna | 13.8% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Max Van Dam | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Yinjin Maile | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Bay Whitney | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Kyle Padgett | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Ian Wolcott | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Kate Chandler | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Erez Buyukyilmaz | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Anny Schmidt | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 38.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.8% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.