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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.42+5.52vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46+1.98vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.39+2.75vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.29+4.47vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.31+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.42-0.31vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.22-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.53-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.69+0.44vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.54-3.89vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.76-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.60-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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7.52University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Washington-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.12Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Puget Sound-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.73Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.11Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.73Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 19.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Max Van Dam | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marijke Jorna | 12.3% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Jacobs | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 22.5% |
| Kyle Padgett | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Anny Schmidt | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Kate Chandler | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Yinjin Maile | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 38.8% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Bay Whitney | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.