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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.79+3.24vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.42+5.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.22+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.53+3.50vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.42+2.11vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54+1.45vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.46-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.39-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.78-0.58vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.31-3.26vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.76-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.29-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.69-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.60-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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5.07Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.93Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Washington-0.530.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Puget Sound-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.45Western Washington University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Washington-0.390.1%1st Place
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9.42University of British Columbia-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.74Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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9.5Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 18.0% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Van Dam | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Kate Chandler | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Yinjin Maile | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Anny Schmidt | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 13.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Jacobs | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Erez Buyukyilmaz | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Kyle Padgett | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Bay Whitney | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
| Marelie Vorster | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 22.3% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 35.8% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.