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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+1.96vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound-0.42+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42+2.83vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.22-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.60+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.49-0.13vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.76-0.17vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.54-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.29-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.53-3.96vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-0.31-5.79vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.69-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Puget Sound-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.78Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.83Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.19Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Washington-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.21Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Van Dam | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 19.9% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marijke Jorna | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Anny Schmidt | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Kate Chandler | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Ian Wolcott | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Bay Whitney | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| Yinjin Maile | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Kyle Padgett | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.