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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+4.17vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.76+7.01vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.53+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.49+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.42+2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.60+1.66vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.22-2.09vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.46-3.98vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.29+1.04vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.54-2.51vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.31-4.07vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.42-4.66vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.69-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-0.78-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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9.01Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Washington-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Puget Sound-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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5.02Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.49Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.93Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.27University of British Columbia-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Van Dam | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bay Whitney | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Yinjin Maile | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Austin Hauter | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wolcott | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Anny Schmidt | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Kate Chandler | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marijke Jorna | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 20.4% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Kyle Padgett | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 37.7% |
| Erez Buyukyilmaz | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.