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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.22+4.65vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.42+4.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.03vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.76+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.79-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.60+1.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.54+0.06vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.31-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.29+0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.42-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.39-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.53-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.69-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.87Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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8.03University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.06Western Washington University-0.540.1%1st Place
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7.44Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Puget Sound-0.420.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Washington-0.390.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Washington-0.530.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Chandler | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Van Dam | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Marijke Jorna | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bay Whitney | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Kyle Padgett | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 23.0% |
| Anny Schmidt | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Audrey Jacobs | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Yinjin Maile | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 17.8% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.