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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.39+5.83vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.22+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60+3.79vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.46-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.79-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.29+2.97vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.78+0.33vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.76-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.42-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.53-3.23vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.69-0.79vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.54-5.55vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University-0.31-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Washington-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University0.220.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.14Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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10.97University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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9.33University of British Columbia-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.36Western Washington University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Puget Sound-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Washington-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.45Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.69Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Van Dam | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Jacobs | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Kate Chandler | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Marijke Jorna | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 18.5% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| Erez Buyukyilmaz | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Bay Whitney | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Anny Schmidt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Yinjin Maile | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 38.8% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Padgett | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.