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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+4.99vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05+2.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.50+5.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+2.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.81+2.60vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.50-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.85+4.78vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.56+0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.95vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.95vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.78-2.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.37-2.74vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26-2.94vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-4.64vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.64-2.70vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.03-5.25vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.80-1.89vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.29-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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11.95SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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13.3Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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16.11University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
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14.33Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Booth | 19.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| George Prieto | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Ted Green | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| John Vrolyk | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Collin Leon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| William Wilder | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 40.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.