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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.53+4.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+1.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+4.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.41+4.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.53+0.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.17+4.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.79+0.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25+1.74vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30-3.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35-1.41vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-4.00vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.94-4.54vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-5.43vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.72-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Tufts University1.5311.6%1st Place
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3.56Georgetown University2.2722.8%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.5%1st Place
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8.28Brown University0.413.8%1st Place
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5.02Boston College1.5312.9%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University-0.172.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University0.796.3%1st Place
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9.74Boston University0.252.3%1st Place
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5.08Webb Institute1.3011.9%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University0.353.1%1st Place
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7.0Salve Regina University0.465.9%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University0.945.8%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University0.695.3%1st Place
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12.92Bates College-1.720.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 22.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 23.6% | 11.4% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.