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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.27+2.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+5.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.41+5.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.79+3.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.53-0.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25+2.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.35+0.57vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-2.55vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.30-5.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.53-6.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.17-2.78vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.72-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Georgetown University2.2722.4%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University0.945.8%1st Place
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8.65Brown University0.414.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University0.796.2%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University1.5313.5%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.6%1st Place
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9.65Boston University0.251.9%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University0.353.8%1st Place
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7.13Salve Regina University0.466.2%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University0.695.1%1st Place
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5.2Webb Institute1.3010.8%1st Place
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5.1Boston College1.5312.2%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University-0.171.9%1st Place
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12.88Bates College-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 22.4% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Devon Owen | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 7.2% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 23.4% | 11.7% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.