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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+3.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+4.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+4.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.41vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+2.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.74+2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78+1.21vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26+2.30vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.69-0.14vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-3.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19+0.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.47-4.89vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.64-6.24vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.64-3.62vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-2.12-0.40vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont1.77-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.84Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.47University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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11.3Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.76Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.38Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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17.6Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 17.5% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Brian Baker | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 37.8% | 5.9% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 3.0% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 6.3% | 87.9% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.