← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.61vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.09+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.98+5.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.77+5.30vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.26+6.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.78+3.36vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.21+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.51-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.64+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.38-2.73vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.69-4.87vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.98vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.69-3.47vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.74-5.86vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.64-2.80vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut0.19-2.39vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.47-7.41vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
-
4.83Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.81Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.06Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.36University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.67Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.51Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.86Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.27Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
9.53Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.14University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.2Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
-
14.61University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
10.59Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
-
17.5Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 16.6% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Brian Baker | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| James Amaral | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 3.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 38.2% | 6.6% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.