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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+3.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+4.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+5.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+4.23vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+1.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98+1.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.69-2.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+0.85vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.69-0.10vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-4.14vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.19+1.70vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.47-4.85vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-4.78vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.77-7.57vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.64-4.65vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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9.37University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.86Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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14.7University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.22Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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13.35Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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17.5Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Elson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 38.4% | 8.2% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Aaron Klein | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 21.0% | 2.9% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.