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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+9.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.45vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.64+6.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77+2.10vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-0.57vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26+2.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-3.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.75+1.80vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.74-2.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.78-5.17vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-4.57vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-2.65vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.64-4.84vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.43Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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11.0Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.58University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.16Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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17.48Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 2.7% |
| James Amaral | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 33.0% | 6.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 3.0% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.