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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+2.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+5.15vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+4.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78+2.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-1.63vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.75+3.73vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-1.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-1.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-4.81vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.26-2.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.85vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.47-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.19-1.60vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.64-3.85vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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4.69Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.72Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.15University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.73Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.86Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.15Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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17.47Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 2.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Aaron Klein | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Elson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 34.5% | 6.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 2.7% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.