Race 4B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emil Tullberg 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.8% 4.5% 1.1%
Peter Barnard 26.1% 18.4% 15.4% 13.5% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rogelio Casellas 10.9% 11.8% 11.8% 10.6% 11.4% 10.4% 9.9% 7.8% 6.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Karya Basaraner 6.7% 7.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.0% 8.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.6% 1.1%
Jakub Fuja 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 7.0% 7.7% 7.5% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 9.4% 8.6% 4.9% 1.5%
Grace Ivancich 5.2% 6.7% 6.9% 8.4% 8.1% 8.8% 8.3% 9.7% 9.3% 9.9% 7.8% 5.7% 4.5% 0.9%
Maria Skouloudi 5.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 10.1% 9.5% 8.6% 5.8% 1.1%
Everett Botwinick 11.8% 12.2% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 10.1% 8.2% 7.8% 6.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.9% 13.6% 18.4% 8.5%
Jancy Grayson 2.6% 3.7% 5.1% 4.6% 5.8% 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 8.7% 10.2% 12.1% 12.4% 11.6% 2.9%
Sylvia Burns 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 7.6% 7.2% 10.4% 14.9% 23.3% 10.5%
Gabby Collins 4.5% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 9.2% 10.2% 12.2% 12.4% 9.8% 2.6%
Colin Kenny 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 11.1% 69.8%
Devon Owen 11.3% 13.1% 13.4% 10.3% 12.1% 9.7% 9.2% 6.7% 5.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.