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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+5.70vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+6.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+2.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+0.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+2.92vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+4.16vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08+2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.13vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.26-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.91+0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-0.08vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-6.39vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.64-3.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.42-6.86vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-7.71vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.73Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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8.61University of New Hampshire1.740.1%1st Place
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12.67Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.29Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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17.45Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 18.6% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 19.0% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 0.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 2.5% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 30.4% | 5.7% |
| James Amaral | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 2.4% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline King | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.