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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+5.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+2.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.99vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+5.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+5.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77+1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.38-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.74-0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-4.11vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-3.13vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.91-3.36vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-5.71vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-3.42vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-2.12-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.8University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.89Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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10.29Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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16.68Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 17.3% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 19.0% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| John Duncan | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 35.4% | 6.8% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.