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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.74+7.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+8.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+4.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.91+5.20vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-0.66vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.80-0.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-1.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.64vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-2.97vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.26-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-5.12vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-8.45vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-2.64vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-7.37vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-2.12-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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9.38University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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7.34Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.79McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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9.03Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.29Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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17.48Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 1.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Walker | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 17.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 1.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Elson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 36.1% | 6.2% |
| Caroline King | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.