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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.74+7.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+4.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+1.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.91+5.16vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.69-2.73vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26+0.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-2.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42-1.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.20vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-4.74vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.08-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-6.47vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.75-4.22vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-3.53vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-2.12-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26University of New Hampshire1.740.1%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.24Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.2%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.95Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.78Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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16.64Wesleyan University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 16.6% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 20.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 1.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 2.1% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 33.1% | 6.3% |
| Jon Brudnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.