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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+6.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+5.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+4.18vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10+5.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.48-0.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.23+1.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-3.45vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-1.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.77vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.69-4.52vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-6.74vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-3.66vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.06-3.16vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.67-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.02Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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10.41Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.85University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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12.34Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.84Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nate Peck | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Carter Brock | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| leif Bergstrom | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 9.9% |
| Warren Galloway | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 24.9% | 21.6% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.