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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+6.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+7.40vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.23+6.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50-0.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02-0.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-0.55vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69-1.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.48-5.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-2.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.06-0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.67+0.27vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-6.69vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University0.55-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.4Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.97University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.06Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.69Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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13.83Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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12.48Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Peck | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Jordan | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| leif Bergstrom | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 26.1% | 22.6% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 54.9% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.