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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+6.12vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+6.46vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50-0.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-1.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76-2.04vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55+1.41vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.69-3.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23-3.81vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.06-1.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-5.42vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.67-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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12.41Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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10.19University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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13.71Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 15.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Nate Peck | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 10.2% |
| leif Bergstrom | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Borovick | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 24.4% | 22.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 16.7% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.