← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.48+4.38vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.50+3.34vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.73+5.20vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.02+3.20vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.39+4.27vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.18vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.15-1.43vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.74-0.66vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.69-1.83vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.76-3.77vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.10-2.52vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.23-3.80vs Predicted
-
15Wesleyan University0.55-2.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.67-0.75vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-6.68vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College0.06-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.38Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.34Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.2Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.2Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
9.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.57University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.17Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.23Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
-
10.48Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.54Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
-
15.25University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.32Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
13.83Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nate Peck | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| leif Bergstrom | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 54.4% |
| Carter Brock | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.