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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.21vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+7.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+4.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+3.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73+2.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50-0.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+1.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.75-1.05vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-3.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.65-0.19vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.23-3.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-7.50vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.06-1.33vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.67-1.73vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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9.0Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.65University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.67Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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12.08Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nate Peck | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Jordan | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carina Becker | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| leif Bergstrom | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Geib | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 8.5% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 9.3% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 52.9% |
| Joey Lark | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.