Race 5B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Barnard 24.1% 18.6% 14.9% 12.0% 9.7% 8.1% 4.8% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rogelio Casellas 12.6% 10.8% 13.0% 12.2% 10.6% 9.2% 9.8% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 11.9% 12.4% 11.8% 10.9% 9.8% 11.1% 10.0% 7.2% 5.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.8% 8.8% 8.0% 9.8% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.5%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 11.1% 14.1% 19.4% 8.0%
Grace Ivancich 6.0% 7.3% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.3% 8.0% 8.7% 8.1% 3.5% 0.8%
Maria Skouloudi 4.8% 6.3% 5.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 8.2% 6.4% 1.1%
Emil Tullberg 5.5% 6.9% 7.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.9% 7.8% 7.0% 4.2% 0.8%
Gabby Collins 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.1% 8.7% 11.2% 11.3% 10.6% 10.0% 2.7%
Devon Owen 12.0% 12.6% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 6.5% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 7.1% 7.1% 10.8% 14.3% 23.2% 10.7%
Karya Basaraner 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.1% 7.4% 4.7% 1.2%
Colin Kenny 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 2.2% 3.2% 5.1% 12.1% 69.8%
Jancy Grayson 4.0% 3.6% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.8% 8.8% 11.0% 12.3% 9.8% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.