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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.55+7.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+5.35vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+3.78vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+2.47vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59+2.39vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.33+2.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69-2.23vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55+1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.74-4.34vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-3.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.65-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.23-5.37vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.06-2.48vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.67-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.78Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.09Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.15Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.63University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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13.52Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Becker | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 15.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Geib | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joey Lark | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Haley Kachmar | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| leif Bergstrom | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 9.4% |
| Nate Peck | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Warren Galloway | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 19.7% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.