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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+6.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.55+6.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.74+2.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.69+2.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+2.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.23+0.84vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University0.55+2.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.65-0.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.33-3.67vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.06-0.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.73-7.30vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-8.72vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.67-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.84University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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12.03Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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13.57Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.28Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Geib | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carina Becker | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Peck | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| leif Bergstrom | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 23.9% | 22.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 16.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.