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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.69+6.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+2.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.24vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+5.01vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+3.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.74-0.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.33+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.75-2.47vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55+1.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-4.52vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.23-3.27vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59-5.63vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.65-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.67-1.76vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.06-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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12.11Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.73University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.5Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| leif Bergstrom | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Carina Becker | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nate Peck | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Haley Kachmar | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Geib | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Borovick | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Joey Lark | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 7.5% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 53.7% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.