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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.69+7.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+3.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.33+6.77vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+5.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+1.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+0.91vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74-1.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79-2.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-4.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.22vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.06+0.95vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-1.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.23-5.17vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-3.41vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.67-2.04vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.65-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.41Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.95Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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12.32McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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9.83University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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12.59Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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15.96University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| leif Bergstrom | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Carina Becker | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Geib | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nate Peck | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Warren Galloway | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 51.7% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.