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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+7.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+4.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.69+3.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74+1.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-1.98vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.33+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.75-2.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.23-2.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.65-1.36vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59-5.64vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.06-1.39vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-3.99vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.73-9.19vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.67-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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5.02Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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9.73University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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13.61Middlebury College0.060.0%1st Place
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12.01Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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15.24University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| leif Bergstrom | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nate Peck | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Geib | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carina Becker | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 6.5% |
| Joey Lark | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Warren Galloway | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 22.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.