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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+1.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.01+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-1.93+5.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.29vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-3.31+4.65vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.93+1.49vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-3.44vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-3.10+1.32vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.98-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-8.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.07-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.3%1st Place
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4.65Northeastern University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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10.65Brandeis University-3.310.0%1st Place
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8.49University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.56Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.1%1st Place
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10.32Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.64McGill University-0.980.0%1st Place
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9.09University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 29.9% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelley Phippen | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 4.3% |
| Megan Laurie | 12.2% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Smurzynski | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 24.3% | 45.1% |
| Olivia Dube | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 4.3% |
| Liam Shanahan | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 25.2% | 35.2% |
| Holden Koivu | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 18.8% | 10.8% |
| Marley Hillman | 19.0% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Hart | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.