← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.66+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+0.72vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.07-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.72vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University-0.01-2.36vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.98-1.56vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-2.29-0.20vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-1.93-1.70vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut-1.93-2.76vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College-3.10-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.3%1st Place
-
3.34Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
-
4.72Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.62Tufts University0.070.1%1st Place
-
4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
-
4.64Northeastern University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.44McGill University-0.980.0%1st Place
-
8.8University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.3University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.24University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.91Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 30.1% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Hillman | 19.8% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Hart | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Laurie | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelley Phippen | 8.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Holden Koivu | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Madison Joslin | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 26.7% | 20.7% |
| Olivia Dube | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 22.7% | 11.3% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 21.8% | 22.1% | 11.6% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.