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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.07+3.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-0.36vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+0.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.60vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.01-1.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66-3.58vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.10+1.81vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.98-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.93-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.93-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Tufts University0.070.1%1st Place
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2.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.3%1st Place
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4.72Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.1%1st Place
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4.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.62Northeastern University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
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9.81Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.5McGill University-0.980.0%1st Place
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8.88University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.27University of New Hampshire-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hart | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 32.3% | 23.3% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Laurie | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelley Phippen | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marley Hillman | 18.8% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 54.3% |
| Holden Koivu | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Madison Joslin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 28.6% | 22.2% |
| Olivia Dube | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 23.0% | 23.6% | 10.4% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.