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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+0.98vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.45+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.30+0.62vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.65-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.13vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.99-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Bates College0.7245.2%1st Place
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3.36Bentley University-0.4514.3%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-1.543.9%1st Place
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4.62McGill University-1.306.9%1st Place
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3.4Bates College-0.6515.2%1st Place
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3.87University of New Hampshire-0.9311.1%1st Place
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5.59Bates College-1.993.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 45.2% | 27.8% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 14.3% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 25.2% | 28.9% |
| Brendan Chinn | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 17.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 15.2% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 21.6% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.