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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+3.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.19+0.19vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.63+1.75vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.61+0.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.88-2.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.15+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.01+1.07vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.09+0.23vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.43-2.11vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.47-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.32-0.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University-2.57-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.91-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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2.19Tufts University2.190.4%1st Place
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4.75Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.630.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.54Tufts University1.880.3%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.23Middlebury College-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.89McGill University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.04Brandeis University-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.58University of New Hampshire-2.320.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University-2.570.0%1st Place
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11.63University of New Hampshire-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Stephani | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Robison | 39.2% | 28.6% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Lynn | 6.5% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jon Ewing | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria Brush | 29.4% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Cho | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Jeanelle Tsai | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Ayden Watt | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Hou | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Zachery Frangman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 24.9% | 17.6% |
| Julia Kim | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 27.0% | 30.8% |
| Timothy Readdean | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 24.4% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.